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Our Coast, Our Future / CoSMoS

Point Blue Conservation Science / USGS · released 2013, updated regularly
Visit Our Coast, Our Future / CoSMoS

Built on USGS's Coastal Storm Modeling System, this tool dynamically models waves, storm surge, and sea-level rise together to map coastal flooding and erosion at high resolution.

General Information

Geographic scope within coastal California
California coast, including the Bay Area
Tool release year and updates
2013, updated regularly

Projected Flood Information

Annual flood risk
No
Annual flood risk (various return periods)
No
Base flood elevation
No
Coastal groundwater flooding
No
Erosion projections
Yes
FEMA flood zones
No
High tide flooding thresholds (minor/moderate/major)
No
King tide
No
Mapping uncertainty / confidence layers
No
Marsh migration space
No
Near-100-year storm scenario
No
Shoreline erosion
No
Storm surge / extreme tide
Yes
Stormwater / compound flooding
No
Wave run-up
Yes

Shoreline Processes

Coastal flood thresholds
No
Coastal groundwater
No
Compound flooding with stormwater runoff
No
Dynamic hydrodynamic modeling
No
Erosion / shoreline change
Yes
Habitat-based risk reduction
No
High tide flooding
No
Hurricane storm surge
No
King tide
No
Levee overtopping
No
Marsh migration
No
Marsh migration / habitat change
No
Regulatory base flood elevation
No
Riverine and coastal flood zones
No
SLR inundation
Yes
Shoreline erosion
No
Shoreline overtopping
No
Storm surge / extreme tide
Yes
Tide-gauge monitoring
No
Wave run-up
Yes

Exposure Analysis Provided on Flooding Impacts to Assets

Critical facilities
No
Economic / property value
No
Infrastructure & buildings
Yes
Natural resources / habitats
Yes
Population / demographics
No

Data, Reports, and Summary Information Available

Reports, summary info, or other analyses available for download
Downloadable, high-resolution flood and erosion GIS layers.

General Information Regarding Sea Level Rise Model

Base sea level rise model
USGS CoSMoS dynamic wave / surge / SLR model (Barnard et al.).

Strengths and Limitations

Top 3 strengths
  • One of the few tools that dynamically models waves and erosion, not just static SLR
  • Very high spatial resolution, down to about 2 meters
  • Actively maintained by USGS with regular updates
Top 3 limitations
  • Heavier, more technical map interface than screening tools
  • Statewide coverage was built out over years, so some regions arrived later
  • Large data layers can be slow to load